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UPSC CSAT Tough Reading Comprehension 28 — The Prevention Paradox: Why Success Can Make Protection Look Unnecessary

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Sample Questions from UPSC CSAT Tough Reading Comprehension 28 — The Prevention Paradox: Why Success Can Make Protection Look Unnecessary

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Q1. Which one of the following best captures the central argument of the passage?

A. Preventive policies are generally undervalued because governments cannot provide direct evidence that they prevent adverse events.
B. Preventive measures should receive stable funding because their benefits become apparent only after they are discontinued.
C. Effective prevention can make its own benefits difficult to observe, requiring counterfactual evaluation while still remaining subject to evidence, cost considerations and periodic reassessment.
D. Preventive policies are superior to remedial policies because preventing harm is normally less expensive than responding to it.

Q2. Which one of the following most accurately explains why the evaluation of preventive policies involves a counterfactual problem?

A. Preventive policies usually address events whose probability cannot be estimated scientifically.
B. Their effectiveness depends partly on comparing observed outcomes with outcomes that might plausibly have occurred in their absence.
C. The consequences of preventive policies generally become measurable only after those policies are discontinued.
D. Preventive policies alter human behaviour, making historical evidence irrelevant to their evaluation.

Q3. With reference to the passage, consider the following statements: 1. The occurrence of an adverse event after preventive action necessarily demonstrates that the intervention failed. 2. Successful prevention may weaken public support for continued preventive expenditure. 3. The absence of an adverse event after preventive action is by itself sufficient evidence of policy effectiveness. 4. Preventive arrangements may need revision even when they were justified when originally introduced. Which of the statements given above are consistent with the passage?

A. 1 and 2 only
B. 2 and 4 only
C. 2, 3 and 4 only
D. 1, 3 and 4 only

Q4. A disease-control programme reduces the estimated annual probability of a major outbreak from 20 percent to 5 percent. A major outbreak nevertheless occurs in the third year of the programme. Which conclusion is most consistent with the author's reasoning?

A. The outbreak demonstrates that the programme was ineffective because successful prevention should prevent the targeted event.
B. The programme must have been effective because the estimated probability of an outbreak had declined.
C. The occurrence of the outbreak alone cannot establish whether the programme failed, because risk reduction does not imply elimination of risk.
D. The programme should be discontinued because probabilistic preventive measures cannot provide reliable protection.

Q5. Which one of the following assumptions is most essential to the author's claim that successful prevention can eventually weaken support for itself?

A. People may partly judge the necessity of protective measures by the recent visibility or frequency of the dangers those measures are intended to reduce.
B. Citizens generally oppose expenditure whose benefits cannot be expressed in monetary terms.
C. Preventive policies become progressively more expensive the longer they remain in operation.
D. Governments deliberately exaggerate risks in order to preserve support for preventive programmes.

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