Para Jumble practice question for SSC. Review the correct answer and explanation, then continue with related practice below.
Arrange the following sentences in the correct order. A. A highly accurate average forecast may therefore still be unsuitable for planning if extreme outcomes matter greatly. B. Some forecasting methods are judged mainly by their average prediction error. C. A method can perform well on ordinary days while repeatedly missing rare but severe events. D. Evaluation should consequently consider tail risk as well as average accuracy.
Correct Answerसही उत्तर
B. BCAD
Explanationव्याख्या
(English): B introduces average-error evaluation.
C gives the weakness of missing extreme events.
A explains why good average accuracy can still be inadequate.
D gives the broader evaluation rule.
Overall Meaning: Average accuracy can conceal serious weakness in predicting extreme events.
व्याख्या (Hindi): B average prediction error से model judge करने की बात करता है।
C rare severe events miss होने की problem बताता है।
A बताता है कि high average accuracy planning के लिए पर्याप्त नहीं हो सकती।
D tail risk को include करने का निष्कर्ष देता है।
समग्र अर्थ: Average accuracy अच्छी होने पर भी model extreme events के लिए unreliable हो सकता है।
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