Para Jumble practice question for SSC. Review the correct answer and explanation, then continue with related practice below.
Arrange the following sentences in the correct order. A. Confidence in a prediction should depend partly on the amount of uncertainty involved. B. Some events can be forecast with reasonable accuracy because the relevant conditions are stable and well understood. C. Others depend on many interacting factors that can change unexpectedly. D. Responsible forecasting therefore communicates both the expected outcome and the degree of uncertainty surrounding it.
Correct Answerसही उत्तर
A. ABCD
Explanationव्याख्या
(English): A introduces the relationship between prediction and uncertainty.
B gives the case of relatively predictable events.
C contrasts this with more complex situations, and D gives the principle of responsible forecasting.
Overall Meaning: Good forecasts should clearly communicate how certain or uncertain the prediction is.
व्याख्या (Hindi): A पूर्वानुमान में अनिश्चितता के महत्व को बताता है।
B ऐसी परिस्थितियाँ बताता है जहाँ सटीक अनुमान संभव है।
C जटिल और बदलते कारकों वाली परिस्थितियों से तुलना करता है और D पूर्वानुमान के साथ अनिश्चितता भी बताने का निष्कर्ष देता है।
समग्र अर्थ:
अच्छे पूर्वानुमान में केवल संभावित परिणाम ही नहीं बल्कि उससे जुड़ी अनिश्चितता भी स्पष्ट की जानी चाहिए।
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