Para Jumble practice question for SSC. Review the correct answer and explanation, then continue with related practice below.
Arrange the following sentences in the correct order. A. The failure does not necessarily mean the forecast was unreasonable when it was made. B. Forecasts should be evaluated partly by the information available before the outcome became known. C. A low-probability event can occur even when a forecast correctly identified it as unlikely. D. Judging every forecast solely by whether its predicted outcome occurred encourages hindsight bias.
Correct Answerसही उत्तर
A. BCAD
Explanationव्याख्या
(English): B gives the principle for evaluating forecasts.
C explains that unlikely events can still happen.
A refers to such a forecast “failure” and says it need not have been unreasonable.
D concludes by warning against outcome-only evaluation.
Overall Meaning: Forecast quality should be judged by reasoning and probabilities, not only by the eventual outcome.
व्याख्या (Hindi): B बताता है कि पूर्वानुमान का मूल्यांकन उस समय उपलब्ध जानकारी से होना चाहिए।
C कम संभावना वाली घटना के फिर भी घटित हो सकने की बात करता है।
A बताता है कि ऐसा परिणाम पूर्वानुमान को गलत सिद्ध नहीं करता।
D hindsight bias की चेतावनी देता है।
समग्र अर्थ:
पूर्वानुमान को केवल अंतिम परिणाम से नहीं बल्कि उस समय के प्रमाण और संभावनाओं के आधार पर परखना चाहिए।
Practice More Like This
Vitorr selects questions using the same topic, subject, exam and overlapping concepts—not just database order.
Related Quizzes
Continue with quizzes connected to Para Jumble and English. Sign up is required only when you start a quiz.